Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.304812 3.894524 4.582984 5.452177 6.528832 7.829869 9.538047
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.454158 3.184888 4.146229 5.529085 7.510439 10.315952 14.718789
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.017292 2.779820 3.861896 5.557933 8.242703 12.500918 20.147140
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.781121 2.577081 3.779335 5.805828 9.305228 15.454741 27.995133
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.533186 2.301485 3.518527 5.689556 9.708493 17.393344 34.869640
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.363791 2.115032 3.356794 5.689239 10.295547 19.843591 44.032350
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.214832 1.936525 3.173408 5.602650 10.681520 22.004566 53.735389
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.123307 1.840228 3.114291 5.732653 11.539865 25.526801 69.316498
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.014709 1.698536 2.949288 5.615358 11.821382 27.768541 82.728716
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.980225 1.685181 3.021710 6.005222 13.395968 34.077960 115.358098
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.933861 1.643015 3.030294 6.256306 14.709145 40.306670 154.505092
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.895053 1.609983 3.051460 6.540122 16.206042 47.932286 209.924056
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.814954 1.496430 2.909917 6.463071 16.853216 53.789495 270.675393
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.753908 1.416113 2.833427 6.551292 18.115123 63.268013 378.420423
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.697784 1.337542 2.746029 6.587104 19.239144 73.279248 522.466203
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.664848 1.303531 2.754915 6.891800 21.455142 90.708401 809.856469
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.610621 1.215656 2.620558 6.748803 21.975939 100.224831 1064.391097
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.570142 1.153571 2.539737 6.748414 23.082930 114.635189 1496.579368
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.529129 1.085383 2.433092 6.642005 23.721131 127.203069 2022.934574
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.504105 1.051456 2.409693 6.801792 25.648278 151.915204 3175.905475
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.469047 0.989740 2.303572 6.657618 26.102665 166.373069 4317.866983
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.460723 0.991614 2.370121 7.137322 29.984973 218.597253 8748.555182
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.446263 0.976576 2.387312 7.447005 33.238617 273.919796 17108.156329